Posted by Sean in Fantasy Advice,Running Backs on Jun 8th 2009 and last modified on Jun 13th 2009. (Print This)
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The Baltimore backfield experienced a lot of traffic in the 08 season, with LeRon McClain, Willis McGahee, and rookie Ray Rice all sharing carries. No one player solidified his role as “the man” leading to frustration amongst fantasy owners everywhere. Surprisingly enough it was the over-sized McClain that turned heads and became an out of the blue fantasy contributor. But McClain’s time as a running back may be over. McClain has been reported to have shown up to Baltimore workouts 10 pounds heavier, reinforcing rumors of his transition back to a more traditional full back role.
Willis McGahee’s work ethic and drive have been questioned throughout his pro career. After a breakout rookie performance in Buffalo, we have all waited to see if that caliber of player will return. But McGahee has not matched his rookie season potential. Coming into 09 McGahee is rehabbing from an ankle injury, opening the door for Rice to impress.
Ray Rice looks to have the greatest chance of making a fantasy impact in 09. He provides the receiving ability that the other Ravens runners lack, and is a guarantee to lock up third down responsibilities. Rice has been reported to have shown up to OTA’s sporting some extra muscle and thickness. Rice should prove that he is more than a third down back, and that he is strong and big enough to take between the tackle carries. He currently has been taking first team snaps in camp, and is reported to have impressed the coaching staff.
Baltimore loves to run the rock and led the league in rushing attempts per game in 08. Joe Flacco is still a young quarterback, and continues to lack explosive receiving options. Look for Baltimore to continue to rely heavily on the run, and look for Ray Rice to be the higher recipient in a lop-sided time share with McGahee.
Rice’s best stretch of numbers came between weeks 6-9.
Week 6 vs Indy: 6 Rush/23 Yards, 7 Rec/64 Yards
Week 7 vs Mia: 160 all purpose yards
Week 8 vs Oak: 8 Rush/64 Yards, 3 Rec/37 Yards
Week 9 vs Cle: 21 Rush/154 Yards, 3 Rec/22 Yards
Look for these numbers, and Rice’s workload to increase in 09.
Given the over saturation at the position in general, Rice is a player that you may be able to get great value for a reasonably cheap price. Recent ADP rankings have Rice being selected towards the end of the ninth round. Both LeRon McClain and Willis McGahee are being selected in front of him. We’ll continue to monitor Ravens camp as workouts progress.